Nigeria missing out from Africa’s projected $151.2bn meat, milk market

Nigeria is missing out from the meat and milk market potential in Africa since these sub-sectors remain under-exploited as illustrated by the countries overarching dependence on import of some animal products.

The United Nations’ Food and Agriculture Organisation (FAO) projects meat and milk market in Africa will be worth about $151.2 billion by the year 2050. This does not imply there would be any major shift in  the  distribution  and  consumption  of  animal  sourced  foods  across  African regions  between  2005/07  and 2050. Prospects for livestock sector development will differ across agro-ecological zones, countries and in geographic areas within countries.

Experts at an event organised in November, 2016 in Lagos by Agra Innovate West Africa, Nigeria’s largest agribusiness trade exhibition contended that the livestock subsector is yet to receive appropriate recognition and most of the technologies in the sector are obsolete.

“We must be innovative in the implementation and execution of agricultural programmes, projects and activities,” said Tope Damola, chairman, Shonga Farms. 

Livestock production grew by 0.76 percent in the third quarter of 2016 from 6.32 percent in the second quarter of 2016 and 5.50 percent in the third quarter of 2015, the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) stated in its Gross Domestic Q3 2016 report.

According people familiar with the matter, government should provide necessary infrastructure and update the data on livestock production in Africa’s most populous nation, stating that inability to do these has hindered the tracking of livestock.

Currently, Africa’s biggest economy needs more than a million metric tonnes of poultry products annually to meet local demand.  Official figures show that local farmers are only able to produce 300,000 metric tonnes, leaving a wide gap of more than 1.2 million metric tonnes.

“We are working tirelessly to meet local demand and to ensure that Nigeria is self-sufficient in chicken,” Ayoola Oduntan, group managing director of natnudO Foods, said during a media tour on the company’s farm recently.

“With some patience and support, Nigeria will be self-sufficient in poultry production. We are ready to lead the drive of the change we intend to achieve,” Oduntan said.

African meat and milk markets represent a major business opportunity for livestock producers, not so  much  for  the  volume  of  animal-sourced  foods  consumed  in  the  continent  as  for  the  projected market  growth,  in  terms  of  both  volume  and  value.  From this perspective, opportunities for investment in African markets for animal-sourced foods will likely be more attractive than those of world’s other regions.

Returning to the FAO report, no major shift is anticipated in both the distribution and consumption of animal sourced food. For instance,  Eastern  Africa,  that is, Intergovernmental Authority on Development (IGAD) an eight-country trade bloc comprising governments from the Horn of Africa, Nile Valley and the African Great Lakes  is and  will  remain  the  largest  milk  market  in  Africa;  and  Southern  Africa, that is, Southern African Development Community  (SADC)  is the  largest market for poultry.

Although  there  are  ample  business  opportunities  for  livestock  producers  in  Africa  across  all products  in  the  coming  decades, FAO’s projections  indicate  that  African  producers  will  be increasingly  challenged  to  respond  to  growing  demand.

Most regions are anticipated to increase imports to meet the rapidly growing demand for livestock products. In particular, with the notable exception  of  Eastern  Africa,  all  geographic  hubs  are  expected  to  be  growing  net  importers  of livestock  products  in  the  coming  decades,  with  the  volume  of  imports  steadily  increasing for  all major livestock products.

African  producers  in  all  regions,  with  some  exceptions  in  Eastern  Africa,  will  find  it  difficult  to satisfy the growing demand for animal-sourced foods, with imports in volume anticipated to steadily increase  in  the  coming  decades  throughout  the  continent.  This represents  a  missed  development opportunity,  given  the  widespread  societal  benefits  that  an  inclusive  growth  of  livestock  can generate, particularly in a continent where between 40 and 80 percent of rural dwellers are estimated to depend partly or fully on livestock for their livelihoods, this was stated in FAO’s 2012 report.

STEPHEN ONYEKWELU

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